A foresight framework and algorithm: Future is…
Posted in: Foresight, Humanity, Innovation Tags: algorithm, consumer trend, Foresight, framework, Future, Humanity, humanness, improvement, perspective, prediction, trend
How to think about the future? A foresight expert uses many tools to help understand what the future holds. Predicting the exact future is not the point for a foresighteer, except that people want to hear predictions – trend this and that – those are easy to deliver and easy to consume but often very [...]
Emerging cityscapes in the next ten years
Posted in: Entrepreneur, Foresight, Humanity, Life Tags: cities, entrepreneurial, Foresight, human condition, what people want
Hunome has kept me very busy. When Frank at KedgeForward asked me to contribute an article it was a neat little break from the 'on the business' and 'in the business' and have a moment to think about one major aspect of our human condition. I wrote a think piece on the emerging cityscape. My [...]
Transhumanism – Where does it stand? Where will it go?
You can find my point-of-view on transhumanism. It is part of a series of articles on the topic on KedgeForward. Here is the full text for convenience: “My view is that humanity is already moving towards a transhuman, beyond biology, species. We have taken little steps. This will be a gradual shift in what [...]
Pastist – Presentist – Futurist
Are you a pastist, presentist or futurist? How would you know? Are these terms related to a particular personality profile, are they something in your upbringing, in your experiences or your firm beliefs. Does your orientation depend on what happened in the past, how your present satisfies you or what is in store for you, [...]
Emotional and rational future maze
Posted in: Foresight Tags: acceptance, anxiety, certainty, confidence, emotion, epicurus, Foresight, Future, hope, human, Humanity, strategic foresight, uncertainty
We must remember that the future is neither wholly ours nor wholly not ours, so that neither must we count upon it as quite certain to come, nor despair of it as quite certain not to come. Epicurus, 341-270 b.C., Greek philosopher, Letter to Menouceus, The Essential Epicurus: Letters, Principal Doctrines, Vatican Sayings, and Fragments [...]
Purpose and value – a company perspective
Posted in: Foresight, Humanity Tags: benchmarking, categorisation, competition, ecosystem, engagement, Foresight, hints, human, Humanity, hunome, ideas, Innovation, insights, knowledge, meaning, purpose, relevance, strategy, vision
If you spent some time visiting several Fortune 500 web sites, how many of those do you think would clearly state their purpose and value to humanity? How many would have people in their brand somewhere? How many would talk about the passion they have for making the world a better place and how their [...]
Foresight Identities – a journey of transformation
Posted in: Foresight, Humanity, Life Tags: eric hoffer, Foresight, foresight identities, Future, howard thurman, human, Humanity, identity, ideology, intuition, jonah lehrer, learned, martin luther king, opinion, Prosapience, research, science, sisu, timing, william gibson
Just like we are different people to different people Foresight Identities are different approaches for different needs… I gave a talk on Foresight Identities and my journey through them at the ‘Futures Hot House’ at AMP building in Sydney last week, thank you Janine and thank you audience for the wonderful questions. The NINE different [...]
Vignette – how to on foresight – nay sayers and cynics
Posted in: Foresight Tags: Creativity, Foresight, Future, how to, human, Innovation, strategy, unusual sources
CONSULT UNUSUAL SOURCES, PEOPLE, AND PLACES–INCLUDING OUTLIERS, COMPLAINERS, AND TROUBLEMAKERS One important function of strategic foresight is the opening of the future. The inclusion of different perspectives is one way to assure this opening. Analysts should look for competent people inside and outside who bring a different way of thinking to the table. Key steps [...]
Vignette – how to on foresight – modules of goodness
Posted in: Foresight Tags: Foresight, Future, how to, modularization, organization, outcome, product creation, psychology, root causes, strategy, success
MODULARIZE OUTCOMES–KEEP THE GOOD AND DEAL WITH THE BAD Throwing the baby out with the bathwater is a self-defeating reaction to negative outcomes. Organizations need to think in degrees of gray. They require an ability to sort thinking into modules, and know what to keep, what to get rid off, and what to deal with [...]
Vignette – how to on foresight – fertile ground
SHIFT ATTITUDES TOWARDS RECEPTIVENESS TO CHANGE George Bernard Shaw said, “You see things and say ‘Why?’ But I dream things that never were and I say ‘Why not?’” It is important to cultivate receptiveness to the new: “Let’s try and understand this better.” The new disturbs existing comfort zones and positions and as a consequence [...]
Vignette – how to on foresight – trends & business-as-usual
Posted in: Foresight Tags: anticipate, business model, discontinuities, Foresight, fundamental, Future, how to, shifts, trends, waves
ASSESS FUNDAMENTAL SHIFTS THAT COULD IMPACT BUSINESS-AS-USUAL Fundamental shifts are those external forces that have the potential of shaking the core assumptions of an organization. These forces are referred to as megatrends, discontinuities, tsunamis, or drivers of change depending on the practitioner. Regardless of what they are called, they have the potential to surprise an [...]
Future and Sci-Fi
What is the role of the science fiction writer in our future? ….my view is that science fiction writers imagine the future – which the scientists and business people then go and make happen – sometimes it takes a long time – but I don’t think that they ‘predict the future’ as someone said in [...]
AusForesight2007
Posted in: Foresight Tags: ausforesight2007, autonomous, behaviour, change, collaboration, evan thompson, Foresight, francisco varela, Future, futurist, habit, human, integral, jan lee martin, ken wilber, meaning making, naomi klein, pattern recognition, peter bishop, peter hayward, richard slaughter, serafino de simone, sohail inayatullah, taboo
Three days in the lives of futurists – together AusForesight2007 is now part of history and memories. We came together in a national event with one tireless international guest Peter Bishop to reflect, react and respond. We reflected on the meaning of futures in our lives and in the world. We reacted to what we [...]
How many futurists?
There are about 100 foresight professionals or futurists in Oz [lose definition or lets say not formed definition of criteria but people who associate themselves with being that]. Oz is about 2% of Global GDP. Australia has a vibrant community and long history with some wonderful godfathers [Richard Slaughter, Sohail Inayahtullah] and one gorgeous mother [...]
The way I fill up my insight fountain
Posted in: Innovation Tags: anthropology, contextual enquiry, Foresight, Future, insight, lifestyles and product identity, product creation, Prosapience, replenish, stealth, strategy
Learn to read in between the lines – for example if in one industry, observe the others Pushing ourselves to observe something across the silo fence can provide a brilliant way to improve products, services, solutions for all. We see these new circumstances better than those who live with the situation all the time. You [...]
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